Reinventing the Mets, Part 1: Assessing where the payroll is heading into the offseason

Usually, a 101-win team would go into the offseason feeling good about where they are heading into next year, only looking at minor tweaks here and there on the roster. The Mets, however, are likely to have at least 13 free agents on their roster — that’s half of an active roster — including some of their star players.

It means another critical winter for owner Steve Cohen and general manager Billy Eppler. No one in sports knows how hard Cohen wants to reach for his wallet, and that could very well dictate the quality of a team the Mets build for 2023.

With that in mind, let’s take a look today at the Mets payroll situation at the start of winter. On Friday, we’ll take a look at what the Mets might look like at different pay points.

Where are the Mets right now?

Incomplete, essentially. The Mets have seven players under guaranteed contract for the 2023 season. Salaries are in the millions:

They have eight additional players eligible for arbitration. Let’s add them to the list, including their projected salaries from MLB Trade Rumors (except in the case of David Peterson, who is likely eligible for arbitration but for whom MLBTR has not projected salary; the estimate is mine):

Next, suppose the Mets take the options on Carlos Carrasco ($14 million instead of a $3 million buyout) and Daniel Vogelbach ($1.5 million instead of a $200,000 buyout) .

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